The production volume of natural gas
increased to 121 billion cubic meters by 9.8% YOY in China in 2013,
including 117.8 billion cubic meters of conventional natural gas, 200
million cubic meters of shale gas and 3 billion cubic meters of coalbed
methane.
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The demand for natural gas increases
significantly as transform projects from coal to natural gas are
launched in China after 2013. Natural gas was in short supply as the
increases in synthetic natural gas (SNG) and imported natural gas fell
short of expectation in 2013.
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The market demand will continue the
upward trend as energy policies are adjusted. China is the third
largest consumption country of natural gas in the world. The demand for
natural gas is estimated to keep increasing while the proportion to
the total consumption of primary energy will be 6.3% in 2014. The
supply of natural gas is unable to meet the demand.
The reserve and production volume of
conventional natural gas are unable to meet the increasing demand in
China. Moreover, Chinese government reinforces the measures to increase
proportion of clean energy consumption, which also stimulates the
demand for natural gas.
The import of natural gas relieves
the insufficient domestic supply as the production volume of natural
gas possesses limited potential for growth in China. The dependence
ratio of oil gas on import keeps increasing. The import volume of
natural gas was 53.4 billion cubic meters in China in 2013, up by 25.6%
YOY. The growth rate of pipeline gas and LNG were 24.3% and 27.0%
respectively. The apparent consumption of natural gas was 169.2 billion
cubic meters, up by 12.9%. The dependence ratio of natural gas on
import exceeded 30% in 2013.
In China, the factory price of
natural gas is set by Chinese government while the retail price is set
by local government. Therefore, the retail price may be lower than the
factory price. Enterprises with integration of upstream and downstream
can avoid the risk while pure downstream enterprises may suffer loss.
The demand for natural gas and LNG
will increase rapidly as Chinese economy develops and urbanization
accelerates in the future. The market potential of natural gas and LNG
is huge as over half of Chinese households use firewood or coal as fuel
in China.
Many investment opportunities exist
for natural gas and LNG exploration enterprises, trading enterprises
and equipment manufacturers in Chinese market. Non-state-owned funds
are subject to many restrictions in the field of natural gas
exploitation. Private and foreign-funded enterprises can invest in
shale gas, coal bed gas and LNG fields, which enjoy preference policies
of the government.
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