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Tuesday, 4 November 2014

Global and China Fuel Cell Industry Chain 2014-2016 - Worldwide Market Size, share, trend, analysis, forecast and growth

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In 2013, fuel cell shipment worldwide reached 215.3MWh, in which the biggest percentage (about 187MW) was contributed by large stationary fuel cell power station. The application of large fuel cell power station was mainly concentrated in America, S. Korea and Japan, widely for power generation, combined heat and power generation (also called cogeneration), IT data center, etc.

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As of 2014, the application of fuel cell in automotive industry, despite of small scale, was the most important among other fields. After two decades or more of development, the current fuel cell technology is relatively mature, and the fuel cell supply chain is gradually improving. Amid the three issues (durability, low-temperature working and cost minimization) that hinder the practicalities of fuel cell in the early stage, the former two have been addressed. In the past 3-4 years, Pt consumed by per 100kw fuel cell catalyst reduced to 30g, system cost dropped by more than 50% to USD500-1000/KW, durability was able to reach as long as over 10 years, and fuel cell start-up test at minus 30oC was completed.

The period of 2015-2025 will witness fuel cell vehicle developing from mature technology to mature technical process, and after 2025, there will be a stage of popularization, as it is projected.

Toyota and Hyundai each plan to launch 1,000 fuel cell vehicles in 2015 priced at USD50,000-100,000, close to the price of pure electric vehicle Tesla Model S, with 90% cost cuts as opposed to the figure a few year ago. 2015 is expected to be the first commercialization year for fuel cell vehicles.

After nearly a decade of development, a supporting R&D system has been initially formed in China covering fuel cell engine, power battery, DC/DC converter, drive motor, hydrogen-donating system and other key components and parts, and hundreds of power systems and complete vehicles can be annually produced in China. However, compared with the developed countries:
Domestic fuel cell engine output power (55kW) is way behind the counterpart (80~100kW) overseas;

Domestic sedan fuel cell engine service life (2,000 hours) is quite lower than that (5,000 hours) abroad;
With respect to cold start, China has basically achieved low-temperature (-10oC) start-up and is now developing -20oC start-up technology, which is still far behind the current -30oC start-up indicator in foreign countries;

Domestic system is high in cost in China, which is attributed to the fact that the critical materials including proton exchange membrane, carbon paper, platinum metal catalyst, high purity graphite powder, etc. mostly rely on import;

No mature products of system units are developed in China, and almost no Chinese companies are engaged in areas of system units such as air compressor, humidifier, hydrogen circulating device, etc.;

System integration capability in China is still weak and electric pile performance and service life are inadequately optimized, while fuel cell stack of Toyota has reached a power density of 3kW/L and the humidification module has been removed via system integration.
Only a small number of Chinese companies set foot in fuel cell system industrialization, achieving small revenue, represented by Sunrise Power Co., Ltd. and Shanghai Shen-li High Tech Co., Ltd. In terms of fuel cell vehicle commercialization, only SAIC MOTOR continuously invests in fuel cell vehicle R&D.

As of 2014, a team of over 100 professionals in SAIC MOTOR have been exclusively involved in R&D of hydrogen fuel cell vehicle and small-batch production is expected to be attained in 2015 as planned. Unfortunately, from the perspective of overall performance parameter, SAIC MOTOR fuel cell vehicle still remains at a level of the last generation (3-5 years before) overseas.

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